Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high humidity are capping the diurnal range in Shenzhen, keeping overnight lows tightly clustered around 26–28°C according to current model consensus. Widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall on August 27 suppress radiative cooling, while light southerly winds and dew points near 26°C limit further drops. Traders assign nearly equal implied probability to 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact timing and intensity of convective activity. Updated short-range runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 27 agosto?
22°C or below 54%
27°C 33%
28°C 29%
26°C 28%
22°C or below
54%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C
22%
26°C
28%
27°C
33%
28°C
29%
29°C
21%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
2%
22°C or below 54%
27°C 33%
28°C 29%
26°C 28%
22°C or below
54%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C
22%
26°C
28%
27°C
33%
28°C
29%
29°C
21%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and high humidity are capping the diurnal range in Shenzhen, keeping overnight lows tightly clustered around 26–28°C according to current model consensus. Widespread cloud cover and heavy rainfall on August 27 suppress radiative cooling, while light southerly winds and dew points near 26°C limit further drops. Traders assign nearly equal implied probability to 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows modest spread tied to exact timing and intensity of convective activity. Updated short-range runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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