Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely fall in the 24–27°C range, driven by moderate nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with a 60–75% chance of showers that could limit radiative heat loss. Westerly winds of 5–10 mph and dew points near 21–22°C further moderate the low, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where typical minima hover around 24–25°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these central outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread in timing and intensity of any showers rather than a dominant signal for extremes. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine resolution criteria based on official station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 30 agosto?
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
43%
21°C
47%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
43%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
20°C or below
43%
21°C
47%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely fall in the 24–27°C range, driven by moderate nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with a 60–75% chance of showers that could limit radiative heat loss. Westerly winds of 5–10 mph and dew points near 21–22°C further moderate the low, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where typical minima hover around 24–25°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these central outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread in timing and intensity of any showers rather than a dominant signal for extremes. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine resolution criteria based on official station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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