Meta’s Mango image-and-video generation model, developed alongside the text-focused Avocado LLM under Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang, was internally targeted for a first-half 2026 launch following its December 2025 disclosure. No public release has occurred as of mid-June 2026. Avocado’s March 2026 delay—after trailing Gemini 3.0 on reasoning and coding benchmarks—has highlighted execution risks that traders view as likely to affect Mango’s multimodal capabilities and timeline. Ongoing work on proprietary and eventual open-source versions reflects Meta’s dual strategy amid competition from OpenAI’s Sora and Google’s video tools. Key near-term catalysts include any Meta earnings commentary or Superintelligence Labs updates that could clarify remaining H1 2026 prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMeta modello “Mango” rilasciato da…?
$26,583 Vol.
30 giugno
12%
$26,583 Vol.
30 giugno
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta’s Mango image-and-video generation model, developed alongside the text-focused Avocado LLM under Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang, was internally targeted for a first-half 2026 launch following its December 2025 disclosure. No public release has occurred as of mid-June 2026. Avocado’s March 2026 delay—after trailing Gemini 3.0 on reasoning and coding benchmarks—has highlighted execution risks that traders view as likely to affect Mango’s multimodal capabilities and timeline. Ongoing work on proprietary and eventual open-source versions reflects Meta’s dual strategy amid competition from OpenAI’s Sora and Google’s video tools. Key near-term catalysts include any Meta earnings commentary or Superintelligence Labs updates that could clarify remaining H1 2026 prospects.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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