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Politica·Primarie

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

icon for MI-10 Republican Primary Winner
Politica·Primarie

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

Mike Bouchard 86%

Robert Lulgjuraj 7.8%

Casey Armitage 5%

Steven Elliott 3.2%

Polymarket

$10,765 Vol.

Mike Bouchard 86%

Robert Lulgjuraj 7.8%

Casey Armitage 5%

Steven Elliott 3.2%

Polymarket

$10,765 Vol.

Mike Bouchard

$2,685 Vol.

86%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$2,426 Vol.

8%

Casey Armitage

$2,575 Vol.

5%

Steven Elliott

$2,008 Vol.

3%

Justin Kirk

$1,070 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Michael Bouchard holds a commanding position in the August 4 Republican primary for Michigan's 10th Congressional District, reflecting traders' assessment of his superior fundraising, established donor network tied to his father's long tenure as Oakland County sheriff, and military record as an Army captain and Bronze Star recipient. Recent reporting has highlighted attacks from rival Robert Lulgjuraj on Bouchard's reliance on family political connections and outside support, framing the contest around questions of local ties versus legacy advantages in the Macomb and Oakland County portions of the district. Lulgjuraj, a former prosecutor with notable cash reserves, faces separate ballot eligibility challenges from opponents that could limit his momentum. Lesser-known candidates including Casey Armitage, Justin Kirk, and Steven Elliott trail in visibility and resources, leaving the race centered on the dynamics between the top two contenders ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,765
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Michael Bouchard holds a commanding position in the August 4 Republican primary for Michigan's 10th Congressional District, reflecting traders' assessment of his superior fundraising, established donor network tied to his father's long tenure as Oakland County sheriff, and military record as an Army captain and Bronze Star recipient. Recent reporting has highlighted attacks from rival Robert Lulgjuraj on Bouchard's reliance on family political connections and outside support, framing the contest around questions of local ties versus legacy advantages in the Macomb and Oakland County portions of the district. Lulgjuraj, a former prosecutor with notable cash reserves, faces separate ballot eligibility challenges from opponents that could limit his momentum. Lesser-known candidates including Casey Armitage, Justin Kirk, and Steven Elliott trail in visibility and resources, leaving the race centered on the dynamics between the top two contenders ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,765
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Mike Bouchard" a 86%, seguito da "Robert Lulgjuraj" a 8%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 86¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 86% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" ha generato $10.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 18, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" è "Mike Bouchard" a 86%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 86% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Robert Lulgjuraj" a 8%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.