Sandy Alcantara tops trader consensus at 43% implied probability for NL Comeback Player of the Year, fueled by his blistering early-season dominance—2-0 with a 0.74 ERA, MLB-leading WHIP, and 528 ERA+ over 24.1 innings, including a Maddux on April 1—marking a sharp rebound from post-Tommy John struggles in 2025. Zack Wheeler trails tightly at 41.5%, leveraging ace-level consistency after addressing thoracic outlet issues, while Michael Harris II (28.5%) and Brandon Woodruff (28%) gain traction via offensive resurgence and a strong debut post-layoff, respectively. The bunched probabilities reflect small-sample volatility, multiple rotation anchors defying prior injury concerns, and competing narratives in a wide-open race defined by workload, WHIP, and bWAR leaders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoShota Imanaga 33%
Brandon Woodruff 30%
Zack Wheeler 30%
Michael Harris II 29%
$16,027 Vol.
$16,027 Vol.
Shota Imanaga
33%
Brandon Woodruff
30%
Zack Wheeler
30%
Michael Harris II
29%
Sandy Alcantara
27%
Porter Hodge
25%
Sean Manaea
25%
Tanner Scott
24%
Ezequiel Tovar
26%
O'Neil Cruz
11%
Shota Imanaga 33%
Brandon Woodruff 30%
Zack Wheeler 30%
Michael Harris II 29%
$16,027 Vol.
$16,027 Vol.
Shota Imanaga
33%
Brandon Woodruff
30%
Zack Wheeler
30%
Michael Harris II
29%
Sandy Alcantara
27%
Porter Hodge
25%
Sean Manaea
25%
Tanner Scott
24%
Ezequiel Tovar
26%
O'Neil Cruz
11%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Sandy Alcantara tops trader consensus at 43% implied probability for NL Comeback Player of the Year, fueled by his blistering early-season dominance—2-0 with a 0.74 ERA, MLB-leading WHIP, and 528 ERA+ over 24.1 innings, including a Maddux on April 1—marking a sharp rebound from post-Tommy John struggles in 2025. Zack Wheeler trails tightly at 41.5%, leveraging ace-level consistency after addressing thoracic outlet issues, while Michael Harris II (28.5%) and Brandon Woodruff (28%) gain traction via offensive resurgence and a strong debut post-layoff, respectively. The bunched probabilities reflect small-sample volatility, multiple rotation anchors defying prior injury concerns, and competing narratives in a wide-open race defined by workload, WHIP, and bWAR leaders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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