Attorney General Aaron Ford dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the Nevada Democratic gubernatorial primary, bolstered by his recent Q1 2026 fundraising announcement of nearly $1.5 million and statewide name recognition from leading high-profile lawsuits like opioid settlements. Washoe County Commissioner Alexis Hill lingers at 3.5%, constrained by a severe fundraising gap and positioning as a dark-horse challenger despite recent campaign pushes on issues like data center tax breaks. With the June 9 primary nearing, the two-candidate field shows no major shifts from endorsements, debates, or polls, reflecting Ford's establishment edge; late-breaking scandals or voter turnout surprises remain low-probability disruptors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$15,045 Vol.
$15,045 Vol.
Aaron Ford
90%
Alexis Hill
4%
$15,045 Vol.
$15,045 Vol.
Aaron Ford
90%
Alexis Hill
4%
If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Attorney General Aaron Ford dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability for the Nevada Democratic gubernatorial primary, bolstered by his recent Q1 2026 fundraising announcement of nearly $1.5 million and statewide name recognition from leading high-profile lawsuits like opioid settlements. Washoe County Commissioner Alexis Hill lingers at 3.5%, constrained by a severe fundraising gap and positioning as a dark-horse challenger despite recent campaign pushes on issues like data center tax breaks. With the June 9 primary nearing, the two-candidate field shows no major shifts from endorsements, debates, or polls, reflecting Ford's establishment edge; late-breaking scandals or voter turnout surprises remain low-probability disruptors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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