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OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·ICE

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

Derek Merrin 79%

Madison Sheahan 11%

Josh Williams 6.0%

Alea Nadeem 3.3%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Derek Merrin 79%

Madison Sheahan 11%

Josh Williams 6.0%

Alea Nadeem 3.3%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Derek Merrin

$3,011 Vol.

74%

Madison Sheahan

$2,435 Vol.

14%

Josh Williams

$774 Vol.

10%

Alea Nadeem

$853 Vol.

3%

Anthony Campbell

$516 Vol.

2%

Wayne Kinsel

$483 Vol.

1%

Jacob Frost

$678 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin's commanding trader consensus at 71.5% stems from his fundraising lead—$608,000 raised and $357,000 cash on hand as of late 2025—name recognition from a narrow 2024 loss to incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur in the redrawn R+3 district, and perceived party establishment support ahead of the May 5 primary. Madison Sheahan's 16.5% reflects momentum from her January entry as former ICE deputy director, bolstered by a March endorsement from Maggie's List, despite a local residency flap. Josh Williams trails at 9.5% amid resurfaced explicit social media posts (April 1) and removal of a controversial endorser (April 15), while Alea Nadeem holds 5.3% on solid fundraising but limited visibility; others fade post-withdrawals. No recent polls available.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,750
Data di fine
5 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin's commanding trader consensus at 71.5% stems from his fundraising lead—$608,000 raised and $357,000 cash on hand as of late 2025—name recognition from a narrow 2024 loss to incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur in the redrawn R+3 district, and perceived party establishment support ahead of the May 5 primary. Madison Sheahan's 16.5% reflects momentum from her January entry as former ICE deputy director, bolstered by a March endorsement from Maggie's List, despite a local residency flap. Josh Williams trails at 9.5% amid resurfaced explicit social media posts (April 1) and removal of a controversial endorser (April 15), while Alea Nadeem holds 5.3% on solid fundraising but limited visibility; others fade post-withdrawals. No recent polls available.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$8,750
Data di fine
5 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"OH-09 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Derek Merrin" a 74%, seguito da "Madison Sheahan" a 14%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 74¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 74% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"OH-09 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jan 21, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "OH-09 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "OH-09 Republican Primary Winner" è "Derek Merrin" a 74%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 74% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Madison Sheahan" a 14%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "OH-09 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.