Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26, 2026, Ottawa municipal election, bolstered by his 2022 victory with 51% of the vote and record of controlled property taxes amid restored City Hall civility. Kitchissippi Councillor Jeff Leiper, a three-term incumbent exploring a mayoral bid since mid-2025, trails at 22% as the primary challenger, conducting listening tours and door-knocking despite a recent bilingual signage gaffe drawing scrutiny in early March. Homebuilder Alex Lawson's January entry with political backing lifts him to 3.1%, while economist Neil Saravanamuttoo and former candidate Catherine McKenney linger at low single digits amid a fragmented field. Absent public polls, odds reflect incumbency advantages in at-large first-past-the-post races, with nominations opening in May potentially consolidating challengers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark Sutcliffe 60%
Jeff Leiper 22%
Alex Lawson 3.1%
Catherine McKenney <1%

Mark Sutcliffe
60%

Jeff Leiper
22%

Alex Lawson
3%

Catherine McKenney
1%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
<1%
Mark Sutcliffe 60%
Jeff Leiper 22%
Alex Lawson 3.1%
Catherine McKenney <1%

Mark Sutcliffe
60%

Jeff Leiper
22%

Alex Lawson
3%

Catherine McKenney
1%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Mercato aperto: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leads trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26, 2026, Ottawa municipal election, bolstered by his 2022 victory with 51% of the vote and record of controlled property taxes amid restored City Hall civility. Kitchissippi Councillor Jeff Leiper, a three-term incumbent exploring a mayoral bid since mid-2025, trails at 22% as the primary challenger, conducting listening tours and door-knocking despite a recent bilingual signage gaffe drawing scrutiny in early March. Homebuilder Alex Lawson's January entry with political backing lifts him to 3.1%, while economist Neil Saravanamuttoo and former candidate Catherine McKenney linger at low single digits amid a fragmented field. Absent public polls, odds reflect incumbency advantages in at-large first-past-the-post races, with nominations opening in May potentially consolidating challengers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti