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icon for Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto
Politica·Brasile

Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto

icon for Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto
Politica·Brasile

Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto

Samuel Timoteo 44%

Pastor Gilvan Costa 44%

Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%

Mendonça Filho 42%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Samuel Timoteo 44%

Pastor Gilvan Costa 44%

Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%

Mendonça Filho 42%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Pastor Gilvan Costa

Pastor Gilvan Costa

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$0 Vol.

40%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for first place remains highly fragmented with a dozen confirmed candidates following party conventions in early August. Recent polling from Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading at 29% but with Humberto Costa (PT) and others clustered well behind, leaving substantial room for movement among Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte, Túlio Gadêlha, and additional contenders. Trader consensus reflected in the tight pricing captures the open field, limited name recognition for many names, and the impact of undecided voters plus potential alliances or withdrawals ahead of the October election. No single candidate has consolidated broad support, and upcoming surveys or last-minute shifts in coalitions could quickly reorder the standings.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for first place remains highly fragmented with a dozen confirmed candidates following party conventions in early August. Recent polling from Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) leading at 29% but with Humberto Costa (PT) and others clustered well behind, leaving substantial room for movement among Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte, Túlio Gadêlha, and additional contenders. Trader consensus reflected in the tight pricing captures the open field, limited name recognition for many names, and the impact of undecided voters plus potential alliances or withdrawals ahead of the October election. No single candidate has consolidated broad support, and upcoming surveys or last-minute shifts in coalitions could quickly reorder the standings.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Pernambuco del 2026?

Paulo Rubem Santiago otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Pernambuco del 2026?

45%
Sì
icon for Will Nabor win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Nabor win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

52%
icon for Michelle Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

Michelle Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

45%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Samuel Timoteo" a 45%, seguito da "Pastor Gilvan Costa" a 45%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto" è "Samuel Timoteo" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Pastor Gilvan Costa" a 45%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.