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icon for Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto

Luiz Eugenio 44%

Paula Falcão 43%

Pedro Paulo 42%

Benedita da Silva 42%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Luiz Eugenio 44%

Paula Falcão 43%

Pedro Paulo 42%

Benedita da Silva 42%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Luiz Eugenio

Luiz Eugenio

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Paula Falcão

Paula Falcão

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Pedro Paulo

Pedro Paulo

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Benedita da Silva

Benedita da Silva

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Carlos Portinho

Carlos Portinho

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Monica Benicio

Monica Benicio

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for André Monteiro

André Monteiro

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Vinicius Benevides

Vinicius Benevides

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Helio Secco

Helio Secco

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Marcelo Crivella

Marcelo Crivella

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Marcos Dias

Marcos Dias

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Ó Clemente

Ó Clemente

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Carlos Jordy

Carlos Jordy

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Waguinho

Waguinho

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Luciano Mattos

Luciano Mattos

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Michelly Xavier

Michelly Xavier

$0 Vol.

27%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Real Time Big Data shows Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat while the contest for second place remains fragmented among a dozen candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Mônica Benício (PSOL), Márcio Canella (União), and others register low double-digit or single-digit support, with high undecided shares and rejection rates preventing any contender from consolidating an advantage. Party realignments following Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid and limited campaign activity have kept the field open. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with separation likely only after further candidate formalizations, new surveys, or late alliances ahead of the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and Real Time Big Data shows Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a clear lead for one Senate seat while the contest for second place remains fragmented among a dozen candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Portinho (PL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), Mônica Benício (PSOL), Márcio Canella (União), and others register low double-digit or single-digit support, with high undecided shares and rejection rates preventing any contender from consolidating an advantage. Party realignments following Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid and limited campaign activity have kept the field open. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with separation likely only after further candidate formalizations, new surveys, or late alliances ahead of the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Pedro Paulo otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle elezioni del Senato di Rio de Janeiro del 2026?

Pedro Paulo otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle elezioni del Senato di Rio de Janeiro del 2026?

45%
Sì
icon for Manuela D'Ávila otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

Manuela D'Ávila otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

44%
Sì
icon for Linhares Jiboia otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Norte del 2026?

Linhares Jiboia otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Rio Grande do Norte del 2026?

46%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 16 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Luiz Eugenio" a 44%, seguito da "Paula Falcão" a 43%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 44¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto", esplora i 16 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto" è "Luiz Eugenio" a 44%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 44% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Paula Falcão" a 43%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni al Senato di Rio de Janeiro: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.