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Politica·Uk

Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
Politica·Uk

Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner

Sirajul Islam 31%

John Gerald Bullard 26%

Mohammed Abdul Hannan 26%

Terence McGrenera 26%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Sirajul Islam 31%

John Gerald Bullard 26%

Mohammed Abdul Hannan 26%

Terence McGrenera 26%

Polymarket
NUOVO
Will Sirajul Islam win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election? icon

Sirajul Islam

$0 Vol.

31%

Will John Gerald Bullard win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election? icon

John Gerald Bullard

$0 Vol.

26%

Will Mohammed Abdul Hannan win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election? icon

Mohammed Abdul Hannan

$10 Vol.

26%

Will Terence McGrenera win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election? icon

Terence McGrenera

$0 Vol.

26%

Will Dominic Aidan Nolan win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election? icon

Dominic Aidan Nolan

$0 Vol.

26%

Will Hugo Pierre win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election? icon

Hugo Pierre

$0 Vol.

26%

Will Zami Ali win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election? icon

Zami Ali

$0 Vol.

25%

Will Hirra Khan Adeogun win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election? icon

Hirra Khan Adeogun

$0 Vol.

25%

Will Lutfur Rahman win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election? icon

Lutfur Rahman

$30 Vol.

52%

The 2026 Tower Hamlets mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tower Hamlets as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Tower Hamlets Council.Incumbent Mayor Lutfur Rahman of Aspire leads trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability for the May 7 first-past-the-post election, bolstered by his 2022 victory and Aspire's council control amid recent projections. Pollcheck forecasts forecast Aspire securing 36 councillors, while LSE professor Tony Travers deems Rahman a "pretty safe bet," citing the party's dominance in Tower Hamlets' unique political landscape. Formal nominations closed April 9, confirming a fragmented nine-candidate field including Labour's Sirajul Islam (30%), Liberal Democrats' Mohammed Abdul Hannan (26%), and others around 25%. Labour faces national headwinds in local elections; upcoming hustings on April 21 and voter registration deadline April 20 could influence turnout in this closely watched borough race.

The 2026 Tower Hamlets mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tower Hamlets as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Tower Hamlets Council.
Volume
$40
Data di fine
7 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Tower Hamlets mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tower Hamlets as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Tower Hamlets Council.
The 2026 Tower Hamlets mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tower Hamlets as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Tower Hamlets Council.Incumbent Mayor Lutfur Rahman of Aspire leads trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability for the May 7 first-past-the-post election, bolstered by his 2022 victory and Aspire's council control amid recent projections. Pollcheck forecasts forecast Aspire securing 36 councillors, while LSE professor Tony Travers deems Rahman a "pretty safe bet," citing the party's dominance in Tower Hamlets' unique political landscape. Formal nominations closed April 9, confirming a fragmented nine-candidate field including Labour's Sirajul Islam (30%), Liberal Democrats' Mohammed Abdul Hannan (26%), and others around 25%. Labour faces national headwinds in local elections; upcoming hustings on April 21 and voter registration deadline April 20 could influence turnout in this closely watched borough race.

The 2026 Tower Hamlets mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tower Hamlets as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Tower Hamlets Council.
Volume
$40
Data di fine
7 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Tower Hamlets mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tower Hamlets as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Tower Hamlets Council.

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"Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lutfur Rahman" a 52%, seguito da "Sirajul Islam" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 52¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner" è "Lutfur Rahman" a 52%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Sirajul Islam" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Tower Hamlets Mayoral Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.