Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank Rate at 3.75% for the Bank of England's June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the March 19 unanimous hold amid sticky consumer price index inflation holding at 3.0% through February 2026 and upward revisions to quarterly forecasts of 3.0–3.5%. Escalating Middle East tensions have driven energy price surges, prompting hawkish signals from policymakers like Catherine Greene on paramount inflation risks and business surveys showing expected price rises of 3.5%—elevating 17.5% odds on a 25 basis point increase. Rate cut probabilities remain negligible below 5% given persistent above-target inflation, with the April 30 MPC decision as the key near-term catalyst ahead of June.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBank of England decision in June?
Bank of England decision in June?
No change 62%
25 bps increase 19%
50+ bps decrease 3.2%
25 bps decrease 1.2%
$12,742 Vol.
$12,742 Vol.
18 giu 2026
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
68%
25 bps increase
19%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 62%
25 bps increase 19%
50+ bps decrease 3.2%
25 bps decrease 1.2%
$12,742 Vol.
$12,742 Vol.
18 giu 2026
50+ bps decrease
$291 Vol.
3%
25 bps decrease
$196 Vol.
1%
No change
$2,455 Vol.
68%
25 bps increase
$9,590 Vol.
19%
50+ bps increase
$209 Vol.
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank Rate at 3.75% for the Bank of England's June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the March 19 unanimous hold amid sticky consumer price index inflation holding at 3.0% through February 2026 and upward revisions to quarterly forecasts of 3.0–3.5%. Escalating Middle East tensions have driven energy price surges, prompting hawkish signals from policymakers like Catherine Greene on paramount inflation risks and business surveys showing expected price rises of 3.5%—elevating 17.5% odds on a 25 basis point increase. Rate cut probabilities remain negligible below 5% given persistent above-target inflation, with the April 30 MPC decision as the key near-term catalyst ahead of June.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$12,742Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank Rate at 3.75% for the Bank of England's June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the March 19 unanimous hold amid sticky consumer price index inflation holding at 3.0% through February 2026 and upward revisions to quarterly forecasts of 3.0–3.5%. Escalating Middle East tensions have driven energy price surges, prompting hawkish signals from policymakers like Catherine Greene on paramount inflation risks and business surveys showing expected price rises of 3.5%—elevating 17.5% odds on a 25 basis point increase. Rate cut probabilities remain negligible below 5% given persistent above-target inflation, with the April 30 MPC decision as the key near-term catalyst ahead of June.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$12,742Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank Rate at 3.75% for the Bank of England's June 18 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the March 19 unanimous hold amid sticky consumer price index inflation holding at 3.0% through February 2026 and upward revisions to quarterly forecasts of 3.0–3.5%. Escalating Middle East tensions have driven energy price surges, prompting hawkish signals from policymakers like Catherine Greene on paramount inflation risks and business surveys showing expected price rises of 3.5%—elevating 17.5% odds on a 25 basis point increase. Rate cut probabilities remain negligible below 5% given persistent above-target inflation, with the April 30 MPC decision as the key near-term catalyst ahead of June.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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