Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No Next PM in 2026" at 52.5%, reflecting Prime Minister Keir Starmer's continued hold on power amid Labour's parliamentary majority, despite persistently low approval ratings and by-election setbacks. Angela Rayner's 18.5% lead among alternatives stems from her March speeches lambasting government immigration reforms as "un-British" and warning the party is "running out of time," fueling speculation of an internal leadership challenge ahead of May local elections. Ed Miliband and Wes Streeting trail as fellow cabinet figures, while Reform UK's Nigel Farage and Rupert Lowe draw support from rising anti-Labour sentiment. Recent Starmer-Rayner joint appearances signal short-term unity, but fiscal pressures and Trump critiques underscore vulnerabilities that could prompt a snap contest or no-confidence vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?
Il prossimo Primo Ministro del Regno Unito nel 2026?
Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026 53%
Angela Rayner 19%
Ed Miliband 4.6%
Wes Streeting 5%
$4,549,049 Vol.
$4,549,049 Vol.
Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026
53%
Angela Rayner
19%
Ed Miliband
5%
Wes Streeting
5%
Nigel Farage
3%
Rupert Lowe
3%
Andy Burnham
2%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Al Carns
1%
Lucy Powell
1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026 53%
Angela Rayner 19%
Ed Miliband 4.6%
Wes Streeting 5%
$4,549,049 Vol.
$4,549,049 Vol.
Nessun nuovo Primo Ministro nel 2026
53%
Angela Rayner
19%
Ed Miliband
5%
Wes Streeting
5%
Nigel Farage
3%
Rupert Lowe
3%
Andy Burnham
2%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Al Carns
1%
Lucy Powell
1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No Next PM in 2026" at 52.5%, reflecting Prime Minister Keir Starmer's continued hold on power amid Labour's parliamentary majority, despite persistently low approval ratings and by-election setbacks. Angela Rayner's 18.5% lead among alternatives stems from her March speeches lambasting government immigration reforms as "un-British" and warning the party is "running out of time," fueling speculation of an internal leadership challenge ahead of May local elections. Ed Miliband and Wes Streeting trail as fellow cabinet figures, while Reform UK's Nigel Farage and Rupert Lowe draw support from rising anti-Labour sentiment. Recent Starmer-Rayner joint appearances signal short-term unity, but fiscal pressures and Trump critiques underscore vulnerabilities that could prompt a snap contest or no-confidence vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti