The U.S. Commission of Fine Arts, featuring Trump appointees, approved a design for a 24-karat commemorative gold coin bearing President Trump's image on March 19 to mark America's 250th anniversary, invoking rare Treasury authority under a 2020 law he signed. Despite this progress toward US Mint production, traders assign a 70.5% implied probability to "No" by July 4 owing to tight timelines—typically months for design finalization, striking, and release—coupled with a federal lawsuit filed in late March alleging violation of laws barring living persons from currency portraits, and absence of any Mint announcements on manufacturing or distribution schedules in the ensuing weeks. Historical precedents for commemorative coins underscore execution risks ahead of the semiquincentennial deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$11,513 Vol.
$11,513 Vol.
4 lug 2026
$11,513 Vol.
$11,513 Vol.
4 lug 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. Commission of Fine Arts, featuring Trump appointees, approved a design for a 24-karat commemorative gold coin bearing President Trump's image on March 19 to mark America's 250th anniversary, invoking rare Treasury authority under a 2020 law he signed. Despite this progress toward US Mint production, traders assign a 70.5% implied probability to "No" by July 4 owing to tight timelines—typically months for design finalization, striking, and release—coupled with a federal lawsuit filed in late March alleging violation of laws barring living persons from currency portraits, and absence of any Mint announcements on manufacturing or distribution schedules in the ensuing weeks. Historical precedents for commemorative coins underscore execution risks ahead of the semiquincentennial deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
Volume
$11,513Data di fine
4 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. Commission of Fine Arts, featuring Trump appointees, approved a design for a 24-karat commemorative gold coin bearing President Trump's image on March 19 to mark America's 250th anniversary, invoking rare Treasury authority under a 2020 law he signed. Despite this progress toward US Mint production, traders assign a 70.5% implied probability to "No" by July 4 owing to tight timelines—typically months for design finalization, striking, and release—coupled with a federal lawsuit filed in late March alleging violation of laws barring living persons from currency portraits, and absence of any Mint announcements on manufacturing or distribution schedules in the ensuing weeks. Historical precedents for commemorative coins underscore execution risks ahead of the semiquincentennial deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any gold coin featuring Donald Trump’s likeness is officially issued by the U.S. Mint by July 4th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A coin will be considered “officially issued” if the U.S. Mint makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. Announcement of a coin without qualifying issuance will not count.
A qualifying coin must be legal tender, but does not need to be minted for general circulation. Commemorative coins minted for a limited production run will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Mint; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,513Data di fine
4 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Commission of Fine Arts, featuring Trump appointees, approved a design for a 24-karat commemorative gold coin bearing President Trump's image on March 19 to mark America's 250th anniversary, invoking rare Treasury authority under a 2020 law he signed. Despite this progress toward US Mint production, traders assign a 70.5% implied probability to "No" by July 4 owing to tight timelines—typically months for design finalization, striking, and release—coupled with a federal lawsuit filed in late March alleging violation of laws barring living persons from currency portraits, and absence of any Mint announcements on manufacturing or distribution schedules in the ensuing weeks. Historical precedents for commemorative coins underscore execution risks ahead of the semiquincentennial deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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