OpenAI’s September 2026 claim that a multi-agent system based on its Astra large language model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Prize Problem in 88 hours has sharply raised trader expectations for additional research-level breakthroughs before year-end. The effort, which reportedly consumed millions in compute and produced a Lean formalization, builds on Astra’s August advances across ten open problems in geometry, combinatorics, and theoretical computer science, as well as strong FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97 percent. Anthropic’s Claude models have meanwhile improved Riemann zeta bounds and formalized Fermat’s Last Theorem, while earlier DeepMind IMO results highlight competitive pressure. With verification still pending and only months remaining, sentiment hinges on whether further verified solutions to open conjectures or additional Millennium problems materialize before December 31.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuali problemi matematici risolverà l'IA nel 2026?
Quali problemi matematici risolverà l'IA nel 2026?
$11,553 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Congettura di Hodge
35%
Birch e Swinnerton-Dyer
30%
Problema di Hadwiger-Nelson
27%
Congettura di Beal
19%
Congettura di Collatz
16%
Congettura della matrice di Hadamard
15%
Numero di Ramsey R(5,5)
15%
Congettura forte di Goldbach
14%
Yang-Mills
12%
Congettura dei primi gemelli
12%
Numero perfetto dispari
11%
Ipotesi di Riemann
10%
Congettura di Legendre
4%
P contro NP
3%
$11,553 Vol.
Congettura di Hodge
$2,211 Vol.
35%
Birch e Swinnerton-Dyer
$1,980 Vol.
30%
Problema di Hadwiger-Nelson
$189 Vol.
27%
Congettura di Beal
$250 Vol.
19%
Congettura di Collatz
$498 Vol.
16%
Congettura della matrice di Hadamard
$475 Vol.
15%
Numero di Ramsey R(5,5)
$476 Vol.
15%
Congettura forte di Goldbach
$395 Vol.
14%
Yang-Mills
$200 Vol.
12%
Congettura dei primi gemelli
$284 Vol.
12%
Numero perfetto dispari
$1,103 Vol.
11%
Ipotesi di Riemann
$1,394 Vol.
10%
Congettura di Legendre
$1,105 Vol.
4%
P contro NP
$993 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 claim that a multi-agent system based on its Astra large language model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Prize Problem in 88 hours has sharply raised trader expectations for additional research-level breakthroughs before year-end. The effort, which reportedly consumed millions in compute and produced a Lean formalization, builds on Astra’s August advances across ten open problems in geometry, combinatorics, and theoretical computer science, as well as strong FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97 percent. Anthropic’s Claude models have meanwhile improved Riemann zeta bounds and formalized Fermat’s Last Theorem, while earlier DeepMind IMO results highlight competitive pressure. With verification still pending and only months remaining, sentiment hinges on whether further verified solutions to open conjectures or additional Millennium problems materialize before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volume
$11,553Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 2026 claim that a multi-agent system based on its Astra large language model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Prize Problem in 88 hours has sharply raised trader expectations for additional research-level breakthroughs before year-end. The effort, which reportedly consumed millions in compute and produced a Lean formalization, builds on Astra’s August advances across ten open problems in geometry, combinatorics, and theoretical computer science, as well as strong FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97 percent. Anthropic’s Claude models have meanwhile improved Riemann zeta bounds and formalized Fermat’s Last Theorem, while earlier DeepMind IMO results highlight competitive pressure. With verification still pending and only months remaining, sentiment hinges on whether further verified solutions to open conjectures or additional Millennium problems materialize before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,553Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 2026 claim that a multi-agent system based on its Astra large language model solved the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness Millennium Prize Problem in 88 hours has sharply raised trader expectations for additional research-level breakthroughs before year-end. The effort, which reportedly consumed millions in compute and produced a Lean formalization, builds on Astra’s August advances across ten open problems in geometry, combinatorics, and theoretical computer science, as well as strong FrontierMath Tier 4 scores exceeding 97 percent. Anthropic’s Claude models have meanwhile improved Riemann zeta bounds and formalized Fermat’s Last Theorem, while earlier DeepMind IMO results highlight competitive pressure. With verification still pending and only months remaining, sentiment hinges on whether further verified solutions to open conjectures or additional Millennium problems materialize before December 31.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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