**Legislative gridlock and the absence of floor votes on comprehensive measures explain the 90% trader consensus against U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill before 2027.** Bipartisan proposals advanced in the House Science Committee in June 2026, including the AI Security and Innovation Act codifying a NIST center for frontier model evaluation and the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act discussion draft, have not cleared both chambers. Recent September introductions, such as Sen. Sanders’ Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act and narrower agent-security or incident-reporting bills, remain early-stage with no evident path to swift passage. Partisan differences over state-law preemption, regulatory scope versus innovation priorities, and competing congressional priorities continue to stall broader legislation, leaving only targeted or voluntary steps likely within the remaining 2026 window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
10% probabilità
$102,026 Vol.
$102,026 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
10% probabilità
$102,026 Vol.
$102,026 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Legislative gridlock and the absence of floor votes on comprehensive measures explain the 90% trader consensus against U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill before 2027.** Bipartisan proposals advanced in the House Science Committee in June 2026, including the AI Security and Innovation Act codifying a NIST center for frontier model evaluation and the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act discussion draft, have not cleared both chambers. Recent September introductions, such as Sen. Sanders’ Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act and narrower agent-security or incident-reporting bills, remain early-stage with no evident path to swift passage. Partisan differences over state-law preemption, regulatory scope versus innovation priorities, and competing congressional priorities continue to stall broader legislation, leaving only targeted or voluntary steps likely within the remaining 2026 window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$102,026Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Legislative gridlock and the absence of floor votes on comprehensive measures explain the 90% trader consensus against U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill before 2027.** Bipartisan proposals advanced in the House Science Committee in June 2026, including the AI Security and Innovation Act codifying a NIST center for frontier model evaluation and the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act discussion draft, have not cleared both chambers. Recent September introductions, such as Sen. Sanders’ Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act and narrower agent-security or incident-reporting bills, remain early-stage with no evident path to swift passage. Partisan differences over state-law preemption, regulatory scope versus innovation priorities, and competing congressional priorities continue to stall broader legislation, leaving only targeted or voluntary steps likely within the remaining 2026 window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$102,026Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Legislative gridlock and the absence of floor votes on comprehensive measures explain the 90% trader consensus against U.S. enactment of an AI safety bill before 2027.** Bipartisan proposals advanced in the House Science Committee in June 2026, including the AI Security and Innovation Act codifying a NIST center for frontier model evaluation and the Great American Artificial Intelligence Act discussion draft, have not cleared both chambers. Recent September introductions, such as Sen. Sanders’ Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act and narrower agent-security or incident-reporting bills, remain early-stage with no evident path to swift passage. Partisan differences over state-law preemption, regulatory scope versus innovation priorities, and competing congressional priorities continue to stall broader legislation, leaving only targeted or voluntary steps likely within the remaining 2026 window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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