Trader consensus gives undefeated contender Movsar Evloev a slight 42% implied probability edge over reigning champion Alexander Volkanovski's 39.5% to hold the UFC featherweight title by December 31, 2026, reflecting the division's intense competitiveness and Evloev's recent momentum. Evloev extended his perfect 20-0 record with a controversial unanimous decision over Lerone Murphy on April 3, solidifying his No. 1 ranking and wrestling-based path to a potential title challenge against the 37-year-old Volkanovski, who defended via unanimous decision rematch win over Diego Lopes in January. Jean Silva's unanimous decision upset of Arnold Allen in late January boosts his 21.5% standing as a knockout threat, while stylistic matchups, age factors, and retirement rumors keep the top outcomes tightly bunched amid a crowded contender field including Murphy and Steve Garcia.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAlexander Volkanovski 35%
Movsar Evloev 33%
Jean Silva 18%
Lerone Murphy 8.5%
$11,849 Vol.
$11,849 Vol.
Alexander Volkanovski
36%
Movsar Evloev
38%
Jean Silva
18%
Lerone Murphy
9%
Steve Garcia
4%
Arnold Allen
1%
Aljamain Sterling
1%
Youssef Zalal
1%
Brian Ortega
1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski 35%
Movsar Evloev 33%
Jean Silva 18%
Lerone Murphy 8.5%
$11,849 Vol.
$11,849 Vol.
Alexander Volkanovski
36%
Movsar Evloev
38%
Jean Silva
18%
Lerone Murphy
9%
Steve Garcia
4%
Arnold Allen
1%
Aljamain Sterling
1%
Youssef Zalal
1%
Brian Ortega
1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus gives undefeated contender Movsar Evloev a slight 42% implied probability edge over reigning champion Alexander Volkanovski's 39.5% to hold the UFC featherweight title by December 31, 2026, reflecting the division's intense competitiveness and Evloev's recent momentum. Evloev extended his perfect 20-0 record with a controversial unanimous decision over Lerone Murphy on April 3, solidifying his No. 1 ranking and wrestling-based path to a potential title challenge against the 37-year-old Volkanovski, who defended via unanimous decision rematch win over Diego Lopes in January. Jean Silva's unanimous decision upset of Arnold Allen in late January boosts his 21.5% standing as a knockout threat, while stylistic matchups, age factors, and retirement rumors keep the top outcomes tightly bunched amid a crowded contender field including Murphy and Steve Garcia.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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