**Putin’s explicit June 5 rejection of Zelenskyy’s June 4 open-letter proposal for direct talks is the dominant driver of the 99.1 % “No” probability.** The Russian leader stated he sees “no point” in a meeting until Moscow’s objectives are met, underscoring Russia’s insistence on territorial concessions and security guarantees that Ukraine rejects. U.S.-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi have been on pause since late February amid competing priorities in the Middle East, with only prisoner exchanges providing limited continuity. No bilateral summit is scheduled in the remaining twelve days, and both sides maintain maximalist positions without credible signals of reversal. While a sudden third-party-mediated breakthrough or last-minute diplomatic reversal cannot be entirely ruled out, the absence of preparatory steps or mutual concessions leaves trader consensus firmly against any leader-level encounter by the June 30 deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$380,275 Vol.
$380,275 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$380,275 Vol.
$380,275 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Putin’s explicit June 5 rejection of Zelenskyy’s June 4 open-letter proposal for direct talks is the dominant driver of the 99.1 % “No” probability.** The Russian leader stated he sees “no point” in a meeting until Moscow’s objectives are met, underscoring Russia’s insistence on territorial concessions and security guarantees that Ukraine rejects. U.S.-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi have been on pause since late February amid competing priorities in the Middle East, with only prisoner exchanges providing limited continuity. No bilateral summit is scheduled in the remaining twelve days, and both sides maintain maximalist positions without credible signals of reversal. While a sudden third-party-mediated breakthrough or last-minute diplomatic reversal cannot be entirely ruled out, the absence of preparatory steps or mutual concessions leaves trader consensus firmly against any leader-level encounter by the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Volume
$380,275Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Putin’s explicit June 5 rejection of Zelenskyy’s June 4 open-letter proposal for direct talks is the dominant driver of the 99.1 % “No” probability.** The Russian leader stated he sees “no point” in a meeting until Moscow’s objectives are met, underscoring Russia’s insistence on territorial concessions and security guarantees that Ukraine rejects. U.S.-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi have been on pause since late February amid competing priorities in the Middle East, with only prisoner exchanges providing limited continuity. No bilateral summit is scheduled in the remaining twelve days, and both sides maintain maximalist positions without credible signals of reversal. While a sudden third-party-mediated breakthrough or last-minute diplomatic reversal cannot be entirely ruled out, the absence of preparatory steps or mutual concessions leaves trader consensus firmly against any leader-level encounter by the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$380,275Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Putin’s explicit June 5 rejection of Zelenskyy’s June 4 open-letter proposal for direct talks is the dominant driver of the 99.1 % “No” probability.** The Russian leader stated he sees “no point” in a meeting until Moscow’s objectives are met, underscoring Russia’s insistence on territorial concessions and security guarantees that Ukraine rejects. U.S.-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi have been on pause since late February amid competing priorities in the Middle East, with only prisoner exchanges providing limited continuity. No bilateral summit is scheduled in the remaining twelve days, and both sides maintain maximalist positions without credible signals of reversal. While a sudden third-party-mediated breakthrough or last-minute diplomatic reversal cannot be entirely ruled out, the absence of preparatory steps or mutual concessions leaves trader consensus firmly against any leader-level encounter by the June 30 deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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