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icon for # 2 AIラボ10月末? (スタイルコントロールオン)

# 2 AIラボ10月末? (スタイルコントロールオン)

icon for # 2 AIラボ10月末? (スタイルコントロールオン)

# 2 AIラボ10月末? (スタイルコントロールオン)

Google 33%

Meta 28%

OpenAI 13%

Anthropic 11%

Polymarket

$21,434 Vol.

Google 33%

Meta 28%

OpenAI 13%

Anthropic 11%

Polymarket

$21,434 Vol.

icon for Google

Google

$6,158 Vol.

33%

icon for Meta

Meta

$4,431 Vol.

28%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$1,830 Vol.

13%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$830 Vol.

11%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$517 Vol.

15%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$498 Vol.

1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$520 Vol.

1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$493 Vol.

1%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$468 Vol.

1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$483 Vol.

1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$430 Vol.

<1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$464 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$440 Vol.

<1%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$538 Vol.

<1%

icon for テンセント

テンセント

$497 Vol.

<1%

icon for マイクロソフト

マイクロソフト

$519 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$464 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$459 Vol.

<1%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$510 Vol.

<1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$421 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$464 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Google and Meta lead trader sentiment for the #2 AI lab by end-October 2026 on the arena.ai Text Arena (Style Control On), with implied probabilities of 32.5% and 28.0%, amid a tight contest behind Anthropic’s dominant Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 models.** Recent July–August releases, including OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family, xAI’s Grok 4.6, Google’s Gemini 3.7 Flash, Meta’s Muse Spark 1.2, and Chinese entries like Z.ai’s GLM-5.3 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3, have intensified competition in reasoning, coding, and agentic benchmarks. Google benefits from scale, product integration, and consistent Flash updates, while Meta leverages open-weight adoption and developer ecosystems. Lower odds for OpenAI (13.0%), Alibaba (11.7%), and Anthropic (10.5%) reflect uncertainty over whether any single lab can sustain a clear second-place edge through October amid rapid iteration and shifting leaderboard performance. Traders weigh these near-term model gains and ecosystem momentum as the primary drivers.

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$21,434
終了日
2026/10/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Google and Meta lead trader sentiment for the #2 AI lab by end-October 2026 on the arena.ai Text Arena (Style Control On), with implied probabilities of 32.5% and 28.0%, amid a tight contest behind Anthropic’s dominant Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 models.** Recent July–August releases, including OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family, xAI’s Grok 4.6, Google’s Gemini 3.7 Flash, Meta’s Muse Spark 1.2, and Chinese entries like Z.ai’s GLM-5.3 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3, have intensified competition in reasoning, coding, and agentic benchmarks. Google benefits from scale, product integration, and consistent Flash updates, while Meta leverages open-weight adoption and developer ecosystems. Lower odds for OpenAI (13.0%), Alibaba (11.7%), and Anthropic (10.5%) reflect uncertainty over whether any single lab can sustain a clear second-place edge through October amid rapid iteration and shifting leaderboard performance. Traders weigh these near-term model gains and ecosystem momentum as the primary drivers.

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$21,434
終了日
2026/10/31
マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「# 2 AIラボ10月末? (スタイルコントロールオン)」はPolymarket上の21個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Google」で33%、次いで「Meta」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、33¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に33%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「# 2 AIラボ10月末? (スタイルコントロールオン)」は$21.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 12, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「# 2 AIラボ10月末? (スタイルコントロールオン)」で取引するには、このページに記載されている21個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「# 2 AIラボ10月末? (スタイルコントロールオン)」の現在のフロントランナーは「Google」で33%であり、市場がこの結果に33%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Meta」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「# 2 AIラボ10月末? (スタイルコントロールオン)」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。