Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates an average of 15–16 magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes occur worldwide each year, with six recorded so far in 2026 including a 7.8 near the Philippines on June 7. Recent activity aligns with historical patterns on major fault systems, where tectonic stress release follows variable but statistically consistent intervals rather than predictable cycles. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline frequency alongside the inherent uncertainty in short-term forecasting, as individual events depend on localized stress accumulation undetectable in advance. Continuous USGS real-time catalogs and magnitude threshold definitions remain the key data releases influencing resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日また7.0以上の地震が... ?
$58,891 Vol.
4月30日
いいえ
5月15日
いいえ
5月30日
いいえ
June 30
Yes
$58,891 Vol.
4月30日
いいえ
5月15日
いいえ
5月30日
いいえ
June 30
Yes
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
マーケット開始日: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates an average of 15–16 magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes occur worldwide each year, with six recorded so far in 2026 including a 7.8 near the Philippines on June 7. Recent activity aligns with historical patterns on major fault systems, where tectonic stress release follows variable but statistically consistent intervals rather than predictable cycles. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline frequency alongside the inherent uncertainty in short-term forecasting, as individual events depend on localized stress accumulation undetectable in advance. Continuous USGS real-time catalogs and magnitude threshold definitions remain the key data releases influencing resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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