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ロシア銀行は4月に決定しましたか?

Market icon

ロシア銀行は4月に決定しましたか?

引き下げ 97.7%

据え置き 2.2%

引き上げ <1%

Polymarket

$158,013 Vol.

引き下げ 97.7%

据え置き 2.2%

引き上げ <1%

Polymarket

$158,013 Vol.

引き下げ

$56,608 Vol.

98%

据え置き

$28,969 Vol.

2%

引き上げ

$72,436 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at 97.7% implied probability for the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting seven consecutive 50 basis point cuts since late 2025 that lowered the rate to 15.00% on March 20 amid moderating inflation—March 2026 CPI at 5.86% year-over-year and underlying pressures at 4-5%—coupled with decelerating GDP growth from 4.9% in 2024 to 1.0% in 2025. The central bank's projection of inflation falling to 4.5-5.5% this year supports further monetary easing to bolster a slowing economy. Hawkish surprises, such as renewed ruble depreciation, fiscal risks from budget deficits, or geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could prompt a hold or hike, challenging this near-consensus.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$158,013
終了日
2026/04/24
マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at 97.7% implied probability for the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting seven consecutive 50 basis point cuts since late 2025 that lowered the rate to 15.00% on March 20 amid moderating inflation—March 2026 CPI at 5.86% year-over-year and underlying pressures at 4-5%—coupled with decelerating GDP growth from 4.9% in 2024 to 1.0% in 2025. The central bank's projection of inflation falling to 4.5-5.5% this year supports further monetary easing to bolster a slowing economy. Hawkish surprises, such as renewed ruble depreciation, fiscal risks from budget deficits, or geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could prompt a hold or hike, challenging this near-consensus.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$158,013
終了日
2026/04/24
マーケット開始日
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ロシア銀行は4月に決定しましたか?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「引き下げ」で98%、次いで「据え置き」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ロシア銀行は4月に決定しましたか?」は$158Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ロシア銀行は4月に決定しましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ロシア銀行は4月に決定しましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「引き下げ」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「据え置き」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ロシア銀行は4月に決定しましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。