Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at 97.7% implied probability for the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting seven consecutive 50 basis point cuts since late 2025 that lowered the rate to 15.00% on March 20 amid moderating inflation—March 2026 CPI at 5.86% year-over-year and underlying pressures at 4-5%—coupled with decelerating GDP growth from 4.9% in 2024 to 1.0% in 2025. The central bank's projection of inflation falling to 4.5-5.5% this year supports further monetary easing to bolster a slowing economy. Hawkish surprises, such as renewed ruble depreciation, fiscal risks from budget deficits, or geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could prompt a hold or hike, challenging this near-consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日引き下げ 97.7%
据え置き 2.2%
引き上げ <1%
$158,013 Vol.
$158,013 Vol.
引き下げ
98%
据え置き
2%
引き上げ
<1%
引き下げ 97.7%
据え置き 2.2%
引き上げ <1%
$158,013 Vol.
$158,013 Vol.
引き下げ
98%
据え置き
2%
引き上げ
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日: Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at 97.7% implied probability for the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting seven consecutive 50 basis point cuts since late 2025 that lowered the rate to 15.00% on March 20 amid moderating inflation—March 2026 CPI at 5.86% year-over-year and underlying pressures at 4-5%—coupled with decelerating GDP growth from 4.9% in 2024 to 1.0% in 2025. The central bank's projection of inflation falling to 4.5-5.5% this year supports further monetary easing to bolster a slowing economy. Hawkish surprises, such as renewed ruble depreciation, fiscal risks from budget deficits, or geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could prompt a hold or hike, challenging this near-consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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