Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) showing Progressive Bulgaria at 37%, GERB-SDS at 21%, and PP-DB at 13%, alongside CAR and CAM surveys placing GERB-SDS at 19-20% versus PP-DB's 12%, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS as second-place finisher in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding 96% implied probability reflects the center-right coalition's consistent edge amid eight elections since 2021, driven by stable support from its established base despite ongoing instability and coalition negotiation uncertainties. With voting days away, challenges would require a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout favoring PP-DB, or polling error, though recent trends discount these risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日GERB-SDS 95.8%
PP–DB 2.5%
PB <1%
DPS <1%
$61,094 Vol.
$61,094 Vol.
2026/04/19
GERB-SDS
96%
PP–DB
2%
PB
<1%
DPS
<1%
ヴェリチエ
<1%
ヴァズラジュダネ
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
MECh
<1%
GERB-SDS 95.8%
PP–DB 2.5%
PB <1%
DPS <1%
$61,094 Vol.
$61,094 Vol.
2026/04/19
GERB-SDS
$25,683 Vol.
96%
PP–DB
$8,658 Vol.
2%
PB
$9,755 Vol.
<1%
DPS
$1,604 Vol.
<1%
ヴェリチエ
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
ヴァズラジュダネ
$2,132 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$2,002 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
APS
$3,977 Vol.
<1%
MECh
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) showing Progressive Bulgaria at 37%, GERB-SDS at 21%, and PP-DB at 13%, alongside CAR and CAM surveys placing GERB-SDS at 19-20% versus PP-DB's 12%, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS as second-place finisher in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding 96% implied probability reflects the center-right coalition's consistent edge amid eight elections since 2021, driven by stable support from its established base despite ongoing instability and coalition negotiation uncertainties. With voting days away, challenges would require a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout favoring PP-DB, or polling error, though recent trends discount these risks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
音量
$61,094終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) showing Progressive Bulgaria at 37%, GERB-SDS at 21%, and PP-DB at 13%, alongside CAR and CAM surveys placing GERB-SDS at 19-20% versus PP-DB's 12%, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS as second-place finisher in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding 96% implied probability reflects the center-right coalition's consistent edge amid eight elections since 2021, driven by stable support from its established base despite ongoing instability and coalition negotiation uncertainties. With voting days away, challenges would require a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout favoring PP-DB, or polling error, though recent trends discount these risks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
音量
$61,094終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Market Links (April 7-14) showing Progressive Bulgaria at 37%, GERB-SDS at 21%, and PP-DB at 13%, alongside CAR and CAM surveys placing GERB-SDS at 19-20% versus PP-DB's 12%, have solidified trader consensus for GERB-SDS as second-place finisher in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation. This commanding 96% implied probability reflects the center-right coalition's consistent edge amid eight elections since 2021, driven by stable support from its established base despite ongoing instability and coalition negotiation uncertainties. With voting days away, challenges would require a late scandal hitting GERB-SDS, unexpected turnout favoring PP-DB, or polling error, though recent trends discount these risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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