Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (30%) and 12°C (25.5%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 19, reflecting the latest forecast models showing a daytime maximum around 52°F (11°C) amid overcast skies and light showers. This cool-down follows warmer conditions earlier in the week (highs near 22°C on April 17), driven by an incoming frontal system introducing cloudy, moist air masses over central Turkey's continental climate zone, where April averages hover at 16-17°C but exhibit high day-to-day variability. GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate limited solar heating potential due to persistent cloud cover and 60%+ precipitation odds, with minor model spreads accounting for the tight race between 11-13°C outcomes. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) updates at Esenboğa Airport and new model runs by April 18 could refine these market-implied odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Ankara on April 19?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 19?
11°C 29%
12°C 29%
13°C 17%
14°C or higher 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
9%
10°C
11%
11°C
29%
12°C
29%
13°C
17%
14°C or higher
12%
11°C 29%
12°C 29%
13°C 17%
14°C or higher 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
4°C or below
$380 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$241 Vol.
1%
6°C
$250 Vol.
1%
7°C
$80 Vol.
2%
8°C
$178 Vol.
5%
9°C
$29 Vol.
9%
10°C
$41 Vol.
11%
11°C
$106 Vol.
29%
12°C
$148 Vol.
29%
13°C
$89 Vol.
17%
14°C or higher
$30 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (30%) and 12°C (25.5%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 19, reflecting the latest forecast models showing a daytime maximum around 52°F (11°C) amid overcast skies and light showers. This cool-down follows warmer conditions earlier in the week (highs near 22°C on April 17), driven by an incoming frontal system introducing cloudy, moist air masses over central Turkey's continental climate zone, where April averages hover at 16-17°C but exhibit high day-to-day variability. GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate limited solar heating potential due to persistent cloud cover and 60%+ precipitation odds, with minor model spreads accounting for the tight race between 11-13°C outcomes. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) updates at Esenboğa Airport and new model runs by April 18 could refine these market-implied odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$1,560終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (30%) and 12°C (25.5%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 19, reflecting the latest forecast models showing a daytime maximum around 52°F (11°C) amid overcast skies and light showers. This cool-down follows warmer conditions earlier in the week (highs near 22°C on April 17), driven by an incoming frontal system introducing cloudy, moist air masses over central Turkey's continental climate zone, where April averages hover at 16-17°C but exhibit high day-to-day variability. GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate limited solar heating potential due to persistent cloud cover and 60%+ precipitation odds, with minor model spreads accounting for the tight race between 11-13°C outcomes. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) updates at Esenboğa Airport and new model runs by April 18 could refine these market-implied odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,560終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (30%) and 12°C (25.5%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 19, reflecting the latest forecast models showing a daytime maximum around 52°F (11°C) amid overcast skies and light showers. This cool-down follows warmer conditions earlier in the week (highs near 22°C on April 17), driven by an incoming frontal system introducing cloudy, moist air masses over central Turkey's continental climate zone, where April averages hover at 16-17°C but exhibit high day-to-day variability. GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicate limited solar heating potential due to persistent cloud cover and 60%+ precipitation odds, with minor model spreads accounting for the tight race between 11-13°C outcomes. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) updates at Esenboğa Airport and new model runs by April 18 could refine these market-implied odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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