Latest weather models from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkey's State Meteorological Service (MGM) converge on a daytime high of 16°C in Ankara on March 27, fueling trader consensus with 30% implied odds, edging out 17°C (26%) and 15°C (22.5%). This tight clustering stems from consistent forecasts amid mild southerly advection and moderate solar insolation, with peak temperatures expected around 2-4 p.m. local time under partly cloudy skies. Recent 00Z model runs show a slight upward nudge from prior cooler outlooks, but lingering uncertainty in cloud cover and diurnal range—typically 8-10°C here—differentiates the outcomes, as fuller sun could push to 17°C while thicker overcast caps at 15°C. Historical March 27 highs average 14°C, underscoring the bullish model bias.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月27日のアンカラの最高気温は?
3月27日のアンカラの最高気温は?
16℃ 30%
17℃ 26%
15°C 22%
18°C 12%
11℃以下
<1%
12℃
1%
13℃
3%
14℃
10%
15°C
22%
16℃
30%
17℃
26%
18°C
12%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21℃以上
1%
16℃ 30%
17℃ 26%
15°C 22%
18°C 12%
11℃以下
<1%
12℃
1%
13℃
3%
14℃
10%
15°C
22%
16℃
30%
17℃
26%
18°C
12%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest weather models from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkey's State Meteorological Service (MGM) converge on a daytime high of 16°C in Ankara on March 27, fueling trader consensus with 30% implied odds, edging out 17°C (26%) and 15°C (22.5%). This tight clustering stems from consistent forecasts amid mild southerly advection and moderate solar insolation, with peak temperatures expected around 2-4 p.m. local time under partly cloudy skies. Recent 00Z model runs show a slight upward nudge from prior cooler outlooks, but lingering uncertainty in cloud cover and diurnal range—typically 8-10°C here—differentiates the outcomes, as fuller sun could push to 17°C while thicker overcast caps at 15°C. Historical March 27 highs average 14°C, underscoring the bullish model bias.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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