Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets indicate Austin's July 18 high will likely settle in the low to mid-90s Fahrenheit, with 92-93°F emerging as the consensus range due to partly cloudy skies, reduced solar heating from lingering moisture, and a moderating upper-level pattern after recent hotter spells. Typical July maxima near 96°F provide climatological context, yet current steering flows and potential afternoon convection lower the odds of exceeding 95°F while supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 92-93°F band. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official Austin-Bergstrom observations used for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月18日のオースティンの最高気温は?
94~95°F 100.0%
81°F以下 <1%
82〜83°F <1%
84〜85°F <1%
$36,570 Vol.
$36,570 Vol.
81°F以下
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
<1%
94~95°F
100%
96~97°F
<1%
98〜99°F
<1%
華氏100度以上
<1%
94~95°F 100.0%
81°F以下 <1%
82〜83°F <1%
84〜85°F <1%
$36,570 Vol.
$36,570 Vol.
81°F以下
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
<1%
94~95°F
100%
96~97°F
<1%
98〜99°F
<1%
華氏100度以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and local outlets indicate Austin's July 18 high will likely settle in the low to mid-90s Fahrenheit, with 92-93°F emerging as the consensus range due to partly cloudy skies, reduced solar heating from lingering moisture, and a moderating upper-level pattern after recent hotter spells. Typical July maxima near 96°F provide climatological context, yet current steering flows and potential afternoon convection lower the odds of exceeding 95°F while supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 92-93°F band. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of official Austin-Bergstrom observations used for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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