Latest weather models from authoritative sources like the ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Beijing's March 26 high between 24-26°C, driving tight trader consensus with 25°C (27.5%) and 26°C (25.5%) leading, as afternoon solar heating under partly cloudy skies favors upper-20s peaks. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in Beijing—boosting temps 1-2°C above rural stations—and variable southerly winds potentially stalling a weak cold front, per China Meteorological Administration updates. Historical late-March averages hover near 15°C, but recent mild anomalies and low precipitation odds tilt sentiment warmer; watch 12Z model runs for shifts in boundary layer mixing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 26?
25°C 28%
24°C 22%
26°C 22%
23°C 14%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
25%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 28%
24°C 22%
26°C 22%
23°C 14%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
22%
25°C
28%
26°C
25%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest weather models from authoritative sources like the ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Beijing's March 26 high between 24-26°C, driving tight trader consensus with 25°C (27.5%) and 26°C (25.5%) leading, as afternoon solar heating under partly cloudy skies favors upper-20s peaks. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in Beijing—boosting temps 1-2°C above rural stations—and variable southerly winds potentially stalling a weak cold front, per China Meteorological Administration updates. Historical late-March averages hover near 15°C, but recent mild anomalies and low precipitation odds tilt sentiment warmer; watch 12Z model runs for shifts in boundary layer mixing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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