Current meteorological forecasts from official agencies indicate Beijing will reach a daily high of 22°C on May 22 under rainy conditions that suppress daytime heating and limit solar radiation. Regional models show consistent southerly flow with cloud cover and precipitation holding temperatures near seasonal norms for late spring, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Historical May averages in Beijing range from 25–27°C, yet today's specific atmospheric setup—marked by elevated humidity and reduced insolation—supports the lower peak. Updated model runs or real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration could shift resolution if unexpected clearing occurs, though such revisions remain improbable given the stability of current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on May 22?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$94,936 Vol.
$94,936 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$94,936 Vol.
$94,936 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current meteorological forecasts from official agencies indicate Beijing will reach a daily high of 22°C on May 22 under rainy conditions that suppress daytime heating and limit solar radiation. Regional models show consistent southerly flow with cloud cover and precipitation holding temperatures near seasonal norms for late spring, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Historical May averages in Beijing range from 25–27°C, yet today's specific atmospheric setup—marked by elevated humidity and reduced insolation—supports the lower peak. Updated model runs or real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration could shift resolution if unexpected clearing occurs, though such revisions remain improbable given the stability of current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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