**Current forecasts from official and major meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 12–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (13°C at 44.5%, 12°C at 32%).** In the Southern Hemisphere winter, high pressure and light southeast-to-east winds are promoting gradual daytime warming under partly cloudy skies with no precipitation expected, limiting strong warm-air advection. Numerical models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a high near 13°C, while other global guidance (including Met Office and ensemble runs) centers on 12°C, reflecting typical mid-August variability where daily maxima rarely exceed the 11–14°C envelope. Climatologically, the date averages around 16°C, but the current stable, cooler pattern—following recent modest cooling—has tightened expectations toward the lower end of the historical range. Traders appear to weight the consensus official forecast and model agreement most heavily, with limited upside risk from unexpected warming given the steering flow and lack of incoming disturbances. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
8月23日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
13°C 45%
12°C 32%
14°C 16%
11°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
32%
13°C
45%
14°C
16%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 45%
12°C 32%
14°C 16%
11°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/23
8°C or below
$96 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$226 Vol.
1%
10°C
$67 Vol.
2%
11°C
$49 Vol.
8%
12°C
$686 Vol.
32%
13°C
$355 Vol.
45%
14°C
$94 Vol.
16%
15°C
$52 Vol.
4%
16°C
$105 Vol.
2%
17°C
$27 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$112 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from official and major meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 12–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (13°C at 44.5%, 12°C at 32%).**
In the Southern Hemisphere winter, high pressure and light southeast-to-east winds are promoting gradual daytime warming under partly cloudy skies with no precipitation expected, limiting strong warm-air advection. Numerical models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a high near 13°C, while other global guidance (including Met Office and ensemble runs) centers on 12°C, reflecting typical mid-August variability where daily maxima rarely exceed the 11–14°C envelope.
Climatologically, the date averages around 16°C, but the current stable, cooler pattern—following recent modest cooling—has tightened expectations toward the lower end of the historical range. Traders appear to weight the consensus official forecast and model agreement most heavily, with limited upside risk from unexpected warming given the steering flow and lack of incoming disturbances. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
音量
$1,868終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from official and major meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 12–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (13°C at 44.5%, 12°C at 32%).**
In the Southern Hemisphere winter, high pressure and light southeast-to-east winds are promoting gradual daytime warming under partly cloudy skies with no precipitation expected, limiting strong warm-air advection. Numerical models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a high near 13°C, while other global guidance (including Met Office and ensemble runs) centers on 12°C, reflecting typical mid-August variability where daily maxima rarely exceed the 11–14°C envelope.
Climatologically, the date averages around 16°C, but the current stable, cooler pattern—following recent modest cooling—has tightened expectations toward the lower end of the historical range. Traders appear to weight the consensus official forecast and model agreement most heavily, with limited upside risk from unexpected warming given the steering flow and lack of incoming disturbances. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,868終了日
2026/08/23マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET**Current forecasts from official and major meteorological sources indicate a daily maximum of 12–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 23, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities (13°C at 44.5%, 12°C at 32%).** In the Southern Hemisphere winter, high pressure and light southeast-to-east winds are promoting gradual daytime warming under partly cloudy skies with no precipitation expected, limiting strong warm-air advection. Numerical models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a high near 13°C, while other global guidance (including Met Office and ensemble runs) centers on 12°C, reflecting typical mid-August variability where daily maxima rarely exceed the 11–14°C envelope. Climatologically, the date averages around 16°C, but the current stable, cooler pattern—following recent modest cooling—has tightened expectations toward the lower end of the historical range. Traders appear to weight the consensus official forecast and model agreement most heavily, with limited upside risk from unexpected warming given the steering flow and lack of incoming disturbances. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover remain the key near-term variables that could shift resolution odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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