Recent short-term forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those referenced by AccuWeather point to daytime highs for Busan on August 13 near 30–34°C, driving the market's concentration around 32–33°C outcomes amid typical mid-August variability. Persistent influence from the North Pacific High sustains warm, humid southerly flow that limits overnight cooling and supports elevated maxima, consistent with seasonal norms of 29–31°C but tempered by potential afternoon cloud cover, sea breezes, or light precipitation that could cap peaks. Historical August extremes, including a 39°C reading earlier in the month, underscore sensitivity to steering patterns and moisture. Traders weigh these factors against model updates expected in the next 48 hours, where shifts in ridge strength or local convection could adjust implied probabilities across the distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の釜山の最高気温は?
32°C 35%
33℃ 24%
31°C 22%
34℃ 11%
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
3%
28℃
1%
29°C
1%
30℃
8%
31°C
22%
32°C
35%
33℃
24%
34℃
11%
35°C
6%
36℃以上
4%
32°C 35%
33℃ 24%
31°C 22%
34℃ 11%
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
3%
28℃
1%
29°C
1%
30℃
8%
31°C
22%
32°C
35%
33℃
24%
34℃
11%
35°C
6%
36℃以上
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those referenced by AccuWeather point to daytime highs for Busan on August 13 near 30–34°C, driving the market's concentration around 32–33°C outcomes amid typical mid-August variability. Persistent influence from the North Pacific High sustains warm, humid southerly flow that limits overnight cooling and supports elevated maxima, consistent with seasonal norms of 29–31°C but tempered by potential afternoon cloud cover, sea breezes, or light precipitation that could cap peaks. Historical August extremes, including a 39°C reading earlier in the month, underscore sensitivity to steering patterns and moisture. Traders weigh these factors against model updates expected in the next 48 hours, where shifts in ridge strength or local convection could adjust implied probabilities across the distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問