Trader sentiment for Chengdu's March 27 high temperature remains tightly clustered around 19-23°C, with 22°C (20.5%) edging out 21°C (17.5%) due to the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting a peak of 21-22°C under partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping insolation at lower levels for 19-20°C outcomes, versus afternoon clearing boosting 23°C+ chances; ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS diverge by 1-2°C amid basin topography's inversion effects. Historical March averages hover at 17-19°C, but recent mild anomalies from lingering winter warmth narrow the spread, with satellite updates pivotal for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 27?
22°C 21%
21°C 18%
19°C 16%
23°C 16%
$11,076 Vol.
$11,076 Vol.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
15%
21°C
18%
22°C
21%
23°C
16%
24°C or higher
14%
22°C 21%
21°C 18%
19°C 16%
23°C 16%
$11,076 Vol.
$11,076 Vol.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
15%
21°C
18%
22°C
21%
23°C
16%
24°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu's March 27 high temperature remains tightly clustered around 19-23°C, with 22°C (20.5%) edging out 21°C (17.5%) due to the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting a peak of 21-22°C under partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping insolation at lower levels for 19-20°C outcomes, versus afternoon clearing boosting 23°C+ chances; ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS diverge by 1-2°C amid basin topography's inversion effects. Historical March averages hover at 17-19°C, but recent mild anomalies from lingering winter warmth narrow the spread, with satellite updates pivotal for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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