Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 30°C, peaking in the early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. This aligns with recent forecast consensus from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected highs of 28-31°C following a warming trend seen in prior days (e.g., 31°C on May 10). Trader consensus at 100% on 30°C reflects verified real-time data from multiple urban stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured maximum. Realistic challenges are minimal post-sunset, though a rare official revision from outlier station readings could shift it; final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 12?
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$85,091 Vol.
$85,091 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$85,091 Vol.
$85,091 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 10, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from China Meteorological Administration stations confirm Chengdu's highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 30°C, peaking in the early afternoon amid partly cloudy skies and light winds that limited further warming. This aligns with recent forecast consensus from global models like GFS and ECMWF, which projected highs of 28-31°C following a warming trend seen in prior days (e.g., 31°C on May 10). Trader consensus at 100% on 30°C reflects verified real-time data from multiple urban stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured maximum. Realistic challenges are minimal post-sunset, though a rare official revision from outlier station readings could shift it; final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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