National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 67°F at O'Hare International Airport today, driven by southwest winds at 10-20 mph gusting higher, advecting warmer air after morning showers dissipate into gradual clearing skies. Current observations confirm this trajectory, with temperatures already reaching 53°F under overcast conditions this afternoon, per NOAA's automated surface observing system—solidifying the market-implied near-certainty of 52°F or higher. Model consensus across GFS and European runs aligns on mid-60s peaks, matching the May 3 climatological normal of 66°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-noon, requiring an improbable cold frontal surge or prolonged cloud deck to suppress readings below 52°F; hourly updates through sunset at 7:53 PM CDT will finalize the official high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on May 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 3?
52°F or higher 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$47,571 Vol.
$47,571 Vol.
2026/05/03
33°F or below
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52°F or higher
Yes
52°F or higher 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$47,571 Vol.
$47,571 Vol.
2026/05/03
33°F or below
$2,795 Vol.
No
34-35°F
$2,654 Vol.
No
36-37°F
$1,377 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$2,387 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$2,369 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$1,264 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$2,317 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$3,137 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$3,020 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$6,667 Vol.
No
52°F or higher
$19,584 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 67°F at O'Hare International Airport today, driven by southwest winds at 10-20 mph gusting higher, advecting warmer air after morning showers dissipate into gradual clearing skies. Current observations confirm this trajectory, with temperatures already reaching 53°F under overcast conditions this afternoon, per NOAA's automated surface observing system—solidifying the market-implied near-certainty of 52°F or higher. Model consensus across GFS and European runs aligns on mid-60s peaks, matching the May 3 climatological normal of 66°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-noon, requiring an improbable cold frontal surge or prolonged cloud deck to suppress readings below 52°F; hourly updates through sunset at 7:53 PM CDT will finalize the official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 1, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
音量
$47,571終了日
2026/05/03マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 12:27 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 67°F at O'Hare International Airport today, driven by southwest winds at 10-20 mph gusting higher, advecting warmer air after morning showers dissipate into gradual clearing skies. Current observations confirm this trajectory, with temperatures already reaching 53°F under overcast conditions this afternoon, per NOAA's automated surface observing system—solidifying the market-implied near-certainty of 52°F or higher. Model consensus across GFS and European runs aligns on mid-60s peaks, matching the May 3 climatological normal of 66°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-noon, requiring an improbable cold frontal surge or prolonged cloud deck to suppress readings below 52°F; hourly updates through sunset at 7:53 PM CDT will finalize the official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$47,571終了日
2026/05/03マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 12:27 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 67°F at O'Hare International Airport today, driven by southwest winds at 10-20 mph gusting higher, advecting warmer air after morning showers dissipate into gradual clearing skies. Current observations confirm this trajectory, with temperatures already reaching 53°F under overcast conditions this afternoon, per NOAA's automated surface observing system—solidifying the market-implied near-certainty of 52°F or higher. Model consensus across GFS and European runs aligns on mid-60s peaks, matching the May 3 climatological normal of 66°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-noon, requiring an improbable cold frontal surge or prolonged cloud deck to suppress readings below 52°F; hourly updates through sunset at 7:53 PM CDT will finalize the official high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問