Trader sentiment favors a high of 21°C (29.5%) or 22°C (25.5%) in Chongqing on March 26, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on peak temperatures around 21-22°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow. Differentiating these from 20°C (19%) hinges on urban heat island effects in the densely built Yangtze River basin, which amplify readings 1-2°C above surrounding rural stations, while partial cloudiness could cap peaks lower. Historical March 26 norms hover at 18-20°C, but recent model updates show reduced precipitation risk, tilting odds warmer; final hourly guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected soon may refine trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
21°C 30%
22°C 26%
20°C 19%
24°C 11%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
19%
21°C
30%
22°C
26%
23°C
15%
24°C
11%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
2%
21°C 30%
22°C 26%
20°C 19%
24°C 11%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
19%
21°C
30%
22°C
26%
23°C
15%
24°C
11%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors a high of 21°C (29.5%) or 22°C (25.5%) in Chongqing on March 26, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on peak temperatures around 21-22°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow. Differentiating these from 20°C (19%) hinges on urban heat island effects in the densely built Yangtze River basin, which amplify readings 1-2°C above surrounding rural stations, while partial cloudiness could cap peaks lower. Historical March 26 norms hover at 18-20°C, but recent model updates show reduced precipitation risk, tilting odds warmer; final hourly guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected soon may refine trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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