Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project a high near 92–94°F for Denver on August 23 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with a 30–50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms developing after peak heating. These convective risks introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or stronger storms could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the 90–91°F bin, while delayed or weaker activity would support readings in the low 90s. Low-level moisture, southwesterly flow, and the diurnal temperature curve around the city’s mile-high elevation further differentiate the narrow leading outcomes. Historical late-August climatology shows typical maxima near 85–88°F, underscoring the current anomalous warmth captured in trader positioning. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of August 22 will refine the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のデンバーの最高気温は?
90〜91°F 38%
92〜93°F 32%
88〜89°F 17%
94~95°F 9%
79°F以下
<1%
80〜81°F
1%
82~83°F
1%
84〜85°F
5%
86~87°F
4%
88〜89°F
17%
90〜91°F
38%
92〜93°F
32%
94~95°F
9%
96〜97°F
3%
98°F以上
3%
90〜91°F 38%
92〜93°F 32%
88〜89°F 17%
94~95°F 9%
79°F以下
<1%
80〜81°F
1%
82~83°F
1%
84〜85°F
5%
86~87°F
4%
88〜89°F
17%
90〜91°F
38%
92〜93°F
32%
94~95°F
9%
96〜97°F
3%
98°F以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project a high near 92–94°F for Denver on August 23 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with a 30–50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms developing after peak heating. These convective risks introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or stronger storms could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the 90–91°F bin, while delayed or weaker activity would support readings in the low 90s. Low-level moisture, southwesterly flow, and the diurnal temperature curve around the city’s mile-high elevation further differentiate the narrow leading outcomes. Historical late-August climatology shows typical maxima near 85–88°F, underscoring the current anomalous warmth captured in trader positioning. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through the evening of August 22 will refine the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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