Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月5日のデンバーの最高気温は？
7月5日のデンバーの最高気温は？
94〜95°F 100.0%
83°F以下 <1%
84～85°F <1%
86～87°F <1%
$41,007 Vol.
$41,007 Vol.
2026/07/05
83°F以下
いいえ
84～85°F
いいえ
86～87°F
いいえ
88～89°F
いいえ
90-91°F
いいえ
92〜93°F
いいえ
94〜95°F
はい
96〜97°F
いいえ
98〜99°F
いいえ
100〜101°F
いいえ
102°F以上
いいえ
94〜95°F 100.0%
83°F以下 <1%
84～85°F <1%
86～87°F <1%
$41,007 Vol.
$41,007 Vol.
2026/07/05
83°F以下
$1,823 Vol.
いいえ
84～85°F
$3,414 Vol.
いいえ
86～87°F
$3,844 Vol.
いいえ
88～89°F
$4,101 Vol.
いいえ
90-91°F
$3,934 Vol.
いいえ
92〜93°F
$7,048 Vol.
いいえ
94〜95°F
$7,586 Vol.
はい
96〜97°F
$3,291 Vol.
いいえ
98〜99°F
$2,082 Vol.
いいえ
100〜101°F
$1,564 Vol.
いいえ
102°F以上
$2,319 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$41,007終了日
2026/07/05マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$41,007終了日
2026/07/05マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問