The market's near-certain positioning on 30°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature for June 8 reflects the official maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory, consistent with regional weather station data showing a peak of 29–30°C amid typical early-summer conditions. Forecasters from the Observatory and regional models anticipated this range due to a subtropical high-pressure system bringing clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological averages for the period without significant heatwave intensification or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's standardized daily maximum at its primary site, with minimal model divergence in post-event verification. An unexpected data revision or alternate station reading exceeding 30°C remains the primary, though improbable, factor that could alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 8?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$346,342 Vol.
$346,342 Vol.
2026/06/08
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$346,342 Vol.
$346,342 Vol.
2026/06/08
24°C or below
$2,031 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,289 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,205 Vol.
No
27°C
$23,337 Vol.
No
28°C
$40,042 Vol.
No
29°C
$41,043 Vol.
No
30°C
$63,073 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$62,733 Vol.
No
32°C
$58,977 Vol.
No
33°C
$36,151 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$14,461 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning on 30°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature for June 8 reflects the official maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory, consistent with regional weather station data showing a peak of 29–30°C amid typical early-summer conditions. Forecasters from the Observatory and regional models anticipated this range due to a subtropical high-pressure system bringing clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological averages for the period without significant heatwave intensification or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's standardized daily maximum at its primary site, with minimal model divergence in post-event verification. An unexpected data revision or alternate station reading exceeding 30°C remains the primary, though improbable, factor that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
音量
$346,342終了日
2026/06/08マーケット開始日
Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning on 30°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature for June 8 reflects the official maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory, consistent with regional weather station data showing a peak of 29–30°C amid typical early-summer conditions. Forecasters from the Observatory and regional models anticipated this range due to a subtropical high-pressure system bringing clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological averages for the period without significant heatwave intensification or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's standardized daily maximum at its primary site, with minimal model divergence in post-event verification. An unexpected data revision or alternate station reading exceeding 30°C remains the primary, though improbable, factor that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$346,342終了日
2026/06/08マーケット開始日
Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The market's near-certain positioning on 30°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature for June 8 reflects the official maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory, consistent with regional weather station data showing a peak of 29–30°C amid typical early-summer conditions. Forecasters from the Observatory and regional models anticipated this range due to a subtropical high-pressure system bringing clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological averages for the period without significant heatwave intensification or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's standardized daily maximum at its primary site, with minimal model divergence in post-event verification. An unexpected data revision or alternate station reading exceeding 30°C remains the primary, though improbable, factor that could alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問