Recent short-range forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate indicate sunny conditions with a maximum of around 29°C expected for Istanbul on July 31, consistent with typical late-July patterns where daily highs average 27–29°C amid stable high pressure. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C (44%) and 27°C (22.5%) likely reflect trader focus on potential measurement at official stations, minor model variability in peak timing, or slight cooling influences such as northeasterly breezes, rather than broader regional projections. With resolution imminent, updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service could refine these probabilities by confirming exact peak values against historical July baselines of 28–30°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月31日のイスタンブールの最高気温は?
26℃ 46%
27℃ 28%
25℃ 21%
28℃ 18%
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25℃
21%
26℃
46%
27℃
28%
28℃
18%
29°C
2%
30℃
2%
31°C
2%
32℃以上
2%
26℃ 46%
27℃ 28%
25℃ 21%
28℃ 18%
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
11%
25℃
21%
26℃
46%
27℃
28%
28℃
18%
29°C
2%
30℃
2%
31°C
2%
32℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and timeanddate indicate sunny conditions with a maximum of around 29°C expected for Istanbul on July 31, consistent with typical late-July patterns where daily highs average 27–29°C amid stable high pressure. Market-implied odds favoring 26°C (44%) and 27°C (22.5%) likely reflect trader focus on potential measurement at official stations, minor model variability in peak timing, or slight cooling influences such as northeasterly breezes, rather than broader regional projections. With resolution imminent, updated numerical weather prediction runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service could refine these probabilities by confirming exact peak values against historical July baselines of 28–30°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問