Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models such as those aggregated by timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a July 31 high near 33°C in Karachi, with possible afternoon sea-breeze moderation and scattered monsoon cloud cover limiting radiative heating. Persistent above-normal rainfall and humidity typical of late-July monsoon conditions in Sindh have kept daily maxima clustered between 32–35°C over the past week, preventing the stronger thermal buildup seen in drier years. Market odds clustered around 34–35°C reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized convective cells, while lower probabilities for 36°C+ align with historical analogs showing rare exceedances when monsoon moisture arrives early. Updated NWP runs and official briefings expected before July 31 will refine these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月31日のカラチの最高気温は?
35°C 30%
34℃ 22%
36°C 13%
33℃ 13%
30℃以下
<1%
31℃
3%
32°C
9%
33℃
13%
34℃
22%
35°C
30%
36°C
13%
37℃
5%
38°C
5%
39℃
1%
40℃以上
1%
35°C 30%
34℃ 22%
36°C 13%
33℃ 13%
30℃以下
<1%
31℃
3%
32°C
9%
33℃
13%
34℃
22%
35°C
30%
36°C
13%
37℃
5%
38°C
5%
39℃
1%
40℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models such as those aggregated by timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a July 31 high near 33°C in Karachi, with possible afternoon sea-breeze moderation and scattered monsoon cloud cover limiting radiative heating. Persistent above-normal rainfall and humidity typical of late-July monsoon conditions in Sindh have kept daily maxima clustered between 32–35°C over the past week, preventing the stronger thermal buildup seen in drier years. Market odds clustered around 34–35°C reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized convective cells, while lower probabilities for 36°C+ align with historical analogs showing rare exceedances when monsoon moisture arrives early. Updated NWP runs and official briefings expected before July 31 will refine these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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