Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lagos on May 9?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 9?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,236 Vol.
$48,236 Vol.
2026/05/09
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,236 Vol.
$48,236 Vol.
2026/05/09
27°C or below
$6,341 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,225 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,599 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,404 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,370 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,739 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,539 Vol.
No
34°C
$9,649 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$4,453 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,076 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$3,840 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 7, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
音量
$48,236終了日
2026/05/09マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:25 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$48,236終了日
2026/05/09マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:25 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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