India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 41.0°C on April 18, 2026—2.5°C above normal—under persistent clear skies and dry conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 41°C outcome. This aligns with recent IMD block-level forecasts pinpointing 41.7°C nearby and escalating heatwave risks across eastern Uttar Pradesh, where isolated spots exceeded 45°C earlier in the week. Official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport and city networks underpin this positioning, reflecting skin-in-the-game agreement on finalized measurements. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-bulletin revision from higher automated weather stations or unverified outlier readings, though model consensus and diurnal heating patterns make shifts above 42°C improbable at this stage. IMD's next bulletin may provide final validation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
41°C 100.0%
39°C or below <1%
40°C <1%
42°C <1%
$53,511 Vol.
$53,511 Vol.
2026/04/18
39°C or below
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
39°C or below <1%
40°C <1%
42°C <1%
$53,511 Vol.
$53,511 Vol.
2026/04/18
39°C or below
$8,309 Vol.
No
40°C
$8,292 Vol.
No
41°C
$10,136 Vol.
Yes
42°C
$8,365 Vol.
No
43°C
$6,037 Vol.
No
44°C
$2,978 Vol.
No
45°C
$2,210 Vol.
No
46°C
$1,746 Vol.
No
47°C
$2,240 Vol.
No
48°C
$1,282 Vol.
No
49°C or higher
$1,916 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 41.0°C on April 18, 2026—2.5°C above normal—under persistent clear skies and dry conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 41°C outcome. This aligns with recent IMD block-level forecasts pinpointing 41.7°C nearby and escalating heatwave risks across eastern Uttar Pradesh, where isolated spots exceeded 45°C earlier in the week. Official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport and city networks underpin this positioning, reflecting skin-in-the-game agreement on finalized measurements. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-bulletin revision from higher automated weather stations or unverified outlier readings, though model consensus and diurnal heating patterns make shifts above 42°C improbable at this stage. IMD's next bulletin may provide final validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
音量
$53,511終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 41.0°C on April 18, 2026—2.5°C above normal—under persistent clear skies and dry conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 41°C outcome. This aligns with recent IMD block-level forecasts pinpointing 41.7°C nearby and escalating heatwave risks across eastern Uttar Pradesh, where isolated spots exceeded 45°C earlier in the week. Official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport and city networks underpin this positioning, reflecting skin-in-the-game agreement on finalized measurements. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-bulletin revision from higher automated weather stations or unverified outlier readings, though model consensus and diurnal heating patterns make shifts above 42°C improbable at this stage. IMD's next bulletin may provide final validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$53,511終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 41.0°C on April 18, 2026—2.5°C above normal—under persistent clear skies and dry conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 41°C outcome. This aligns with recent IMD block-level forecasts pinpointing 41.7°C nearby and escalating heatwave risks across eastern Uttar Pradesh, where isolated spots exceeded 45°C earlier in the week. Official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport and city networks underpin this positioning, reflecting skin-in-the-game agreement on finalized measurements. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-bulletin revision from higher automated weather stations or unverified outlier readings, though model consensus and diurnal heating patterns make shifts above 42°C improbable at this stage. IMD's next bulletin may provide final validation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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