Trader consensus heavily favors 33–35°C for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, with 30%, 29%, and 20.5% implied probabilities respectively, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting a maximum near 34°C under clear skies and light winds. Late March seasonal norms show average highs of 32–35°C, amplified by high solar insolation and low humidity reducing evaporative cooling, while recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles indicate minimal cloud interference. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects in Lucknow boosting readings by 1–2°C over rural areas, potential afternoon sea breeze moderation, and measurement at the official Colvin Tower station—small variances in peak hourly data could tip outcomes amid 1–2°C forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月27日のラクナウの最高気温は?
3月27日のラクナウの最高気温は?
33℃ 30%
34℃ 28%
35℃ 21%
36°C 13%
32°C以下
8%
33℃
30%
34℃
28%
35℃
21%
36°C
13%
37℃
6%
38℃
1%
39℃
1%
40℃
1%
41℃
1%
42°C以上
<1%
33℃ 30%
34℃ 28%
35℃ 21%
36°C 13%
32°C以下
8%
33℃
30%
34℃
28%
35℃
21%
36°C
13%
37℃
6%
38℃
1%
39℃
1%
40℃
1%
41℃
1%
42°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 33–35°C for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, with 30%, 29%, and 20.5% implied probabilities respectively, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting a maximum near 34°C under clear skies and light winds. Late March seasonal norms show average highs of 32–35°C, amplified by high solar insolation and low humidity reducing evaporative cooling, while recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles indicate minimal cloud interference. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects in Lucknow boosting readings by 1–2°C over rural areas, potential afternoon sea breeze moderation, and measurement at the official Colvin Tower station—small variances in peak hourly data could tip outcomes amid 1–2°C forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問