Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other agencies indicate a sharp temperature drop for Lucknow on September 25 driven by widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and gusty winds associated with an active weather system over Uttar Pradesh. This setup, occurring during the late monsoon transition, is expected to limit daytime heating and produce maximum temperatures near 25–27°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 25°C, 24°C, and 29°C-or-higher outcomes. High humidity and rainfall further suppress peaks relative to the historical late-September average of roughly 33°C. Traders appear to weigh the strength and timing of this precipitation against any potential clearing that could allow brief warming, with upcoming IMD updates and model consensus likely to refine resolution probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月25日のラクナウの最高気温は?
29℃以上 60%
23℃ 39%
25°C 33%
26°C 26%
19°C以下
2%
20°C
2%
21℃
4%
22℃
4%
23℃
39%
24℃
25%
25°C
33%
26°C
26%
27°C
12%
28°C
16%
29℃以上
60%
29℃以上 60%
23℃ 39%
25°C 33%
26°C 26%
19°C以下
2%
20°C
2%
21℃
4%
22℃
4%
23℃
39%
24℃
25%
25°C
33%
26°C
26%
27°C
12%
28°C
16%
29℃以上
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other agencies indicate a sharp temperature drop for Lucknow on September 25 driven by widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and gusty winds associated with an active weather system over Uttar Pradesh. This setup, occurring during the late monsoon transition, is expected to limit daytime heating and produce maximum temperatures near 25–27°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 25°C, 24°C, and 29°C-or-higher outcomes. High humidity and rainfall further suppress peaks relative to the historical late-September average of roughly 33°C. Traders appear to weigh the strength and timing of this precipitation against any potential clearing that could allow brief warming, with upcoming IMD updates and model consensus likely to refine resolution probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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