Traders have overwhelmingly positioned around 30°C as Madrid’s highest temperature today, driven by the latest official forecasts from Spain’s meteorological service showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level under persistent high pressure and clear skies. European model consensus indicates typical early-June solar heating and light northerly flow, keeping surface temperatures within a narrow range consistent with historical climatology for the region. The near-certain market odds reflect minimal forecast spread and proximity to resolution, with only modest uncertainty from microscale variations in urban heat islands. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in wind direction could still produce a peak one degree lower or higher before final observations are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on June 4?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 4?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$107,063 Vol.
$107,063 Vol.
2026/06/04
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$107,063 Vol.
$107,063 Vol.
2026/06/04
25°C or below
$2,364 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,777 Vol.
No
27°C
$12,714 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,453 Vol.
No
29°C
$17,856 Vol.
No
30°C
$17,494 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$17,108 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,558 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,319 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,788 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$1,633 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly positioned around 30°C as Madrid’s highest temperature today, driven by the latest official forecasts from Spain’s meteorological service showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level under persistent high pressure and clear skies. European model consensus indicates typical early-June solar heating and light northerly flow, keeping surface temperatures within a narrow range consistent with historical climatology for the region. The near-certain market odds reflect minimal forecast spread and proximity to resolution, with only modest uncertainty from microscale variations in urban heat islands. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in wind direction could still produce a peak one degree lower or higher before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$107,063終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly positioned around 30°C as Madrid’s highest temperature today, driven by the latest official forecasts from Spain’s meteorological service showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level under persistent high pressure and clear skies. European model consensus indicates typical early-June solar heating and light northerly flow, keeping surface temperatures within a narrow range consistent with historical climatology for the region. The near-certain market odds reflect minimal forecast spread and proximity to resolution, with only modest uncertainty from microscale variations in urban heat islands. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in wind direction could still produce a peak one degree lower or higher before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$107,063終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders have overwhelmingly positioned around 30°C as Madrid’s highest temperature today, driven by the latest official forecasts from Spain’s meteorological service showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level under persistent high pressure and clear skies. European model consensus indicates typical early-June solar heating and light northerly flow, keeping surface temperatures within a narrow range consistent with historical climatology for the region. The near-certain market odds reflect minimal forecast spread and proximity to resolution, with only modest uncertainty from microscale variations in urban heat islands. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in wind direction could still produce a peak one degree lower or higher before final observations are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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