Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on June 25?
35°C 100%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,176 Vol.
$50,176 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
35°C 100%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,176 Vol.
$50,176 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to peak highs of 34–35°C in Milan on June 25 amid a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air northward, with light winds and minimal cloud cover supporting strong diurnal heating. Current surface observations show temperatures already reaching the mid-30s°C in preceding days, elevating baseline expectations, while minor discrepancies in forecast timing of any weak trough or localized convection introduce spread across the 33–36°C range. Traders weigh these variables against historical June extremes near 30°C averages, with resolution hinging on official Italian meteorological service readings at representative urban stations. Updated model runs and short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine the tight 34–35°C market split.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問