Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) confirm Munich's highest temperature on April 29 reached 18°C at the city-center station (München-Stadt), with the airport (Flughafen) recording 17.7°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% market-implied probability. Clear skies, light northerly winds around 15 km/h, and low humidity (29-34%) capped daytime heating after a cool start near 8-9°C, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and ICON models projecting 17-19°C amid typical late-April climatology (historical April highs average 13-15°C). This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for alternatives, though rare data revisions from secondary stations or instrument adjustments could theoretically challenge it before final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 29?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,890 Vol.
$78,890 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$78,890 Vol.
$78,890 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 27, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) confirm Munich's highest temperature on April 29 reached 18°C at the city-center station (München-Stadt), with the airport (Flughafen) recording 17.7°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% market-implied probability. Clear skies, light northerly winds around 15 km/h, and low humidity (29-34%) capped daytime heating after a cool start near 8-9°C, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and ICON models projecting 17-19°C amid typical late-April climatology (historical April highs average 13-15°C). This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for alternatives, though rare data revisions from secondary stations or instrument adjustments could theoretically challenge it before final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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