Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on May 24?
56-57°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$212,406 Vol.
$212,406 Vol.
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$212,406 Vol.
$212,406 Vol.
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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