Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport weather station—the market's designated resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest temperature on April 22, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability backed by substantial trading volume. This outcome aligns with Météo-France's pre-event guidance projecting a peak near 20°C amid clear skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge, moderate easterly winds aiding adiabatic warming, and generous solar insolation above the mid-April climatological average of 15–16°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had converged tightly on the 18–20°C range, with morning soundings indicating ample boundary-layer heating potential. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible but could involve rare post-audit data corrections from sensor recalibrations or quality control reviews by Météo-France, though finalized station records carry authoritative weight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on April 22?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$174,593 Vol.
$174,593 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$174,593 Vol.
$174,593 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport weather station—the market's designated resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest temperature on April 22, 2026, reached exactly 19°C, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability backed by substantial trading volume. This outcome aligns with Météo-France's pre-event guidance projecting a peak near 20°C amid clear skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge, moderate easterly winds aiding adiabatic warming, and generous solar insolation above the mid-April climatological average of 15–16°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had converged tightly on the 18–20°C range, with morning soundings indicating ample boundary-layer heating potential. Realistic challenges to this positioning are negligible but could involve rare post-audit data corrections from sensor recalibrations or quality control reviews by Météo-France, though finalized station records carry authoritative weight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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