Official observational data from Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground and corroborated by Météo-France hourly reports, confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 26°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with trader consensus at near-certainty. Leading into the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converged on highs around 25-26°C under high-pressure influence and seasonal warmth above the May average of 18-19°C, with minimal convective interference. This positioning reflects strong evidence from real-time measurements, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration or quality control could theoretically challenge resolution, pending final agency validation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on May 1?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$161,154 Vol.
$161,154 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$161,154 Vol.
$161,154 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observational data from Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground and corroborated by Météo-France hourly reports, confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 26°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with trader consensus at near-certainty. Leading into the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converged on highs around 25-26°C under high-pressure influence and seasonal warmth above the May average of 18-19°C, with minimal convective interference. This positioning reflects strong evidence from real-time measurements, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration or quality control could theoretically challenge resolution, pending final agency validation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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