Trader consensus has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 12, backed by Météo-France observations showing a midday peak of 16°C under persistent overcast skies and light rain from a blocking low-pressure system driving northerly airflow. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts over the past 24 hours converge on 15-16°C maxima, well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C, with current readings at 13°C amid cloudy conditions limiting solar heating. While unexpected cloud breaks could enable brief spikes to 17°C via enhanced insolation, model agreement and diurnal patterns make this improbable; end-of-day observations from the official station will finalize resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on May 12?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 12?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$133,031 Vol.
$133,031 Vol.
2026/05/12
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$133,031 Vol.
$133,031 Vol.
2026/05/12
10°C or below
$864 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,395 Vol.
No
12°C
$4,708 Vol.
No
13°C
$12,729 Vol.
No
14°C
$24,258 Vol.
No
15°C
$16,511 Vol.
No
16°C
$21,562 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$18,972 Vol.
No
18°C
$13,671 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,770 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$9,591 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 12, backed by Météo-France observations showing a midday peak of 16°C under persistent overcast skies and light rain from a blocking low-pressure system driving northerly airflow. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts over the past 24 hours converge on 15-16°C maxima, well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C, with current readings at 13°C amid cloudy conditions limiting solar heating. While unexpected cloud breaks could enable brief spikes to 17°C via enhanced insolation, model agreement and diurnal patterns make this improbable; end-of-day observations from the official station will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$133,031終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 12, backed by Météo-France observations showing a midday peak of 16°C under persistent overcast skies and light rain from a blocking low-pressure system driving northerly airflow. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts over the past 24 hours converge on 15-16°C maxima, well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C, with current readings at 13°C amid cloudy conditions limiting solar heating. While unexpected cloud breaks could enable brief spikes to 17°C via enhanced insolation, model agreement and diurnal patterns make this improbable; end-of-day observations from the official station will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$133,031終了日
2026/05/12マーケット開始日
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 12, backed by Météo-France observations showing a midday peak of 16°C under persistent overcast skies and light rain from a blocking low-pressure system driving northerly airflow. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts over the past 24 hours converge on 15-16°C maxima, well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C, with current readings at 13°C amid cloudy conditions limiting solar heating. While unexpected cloud breaks could enable brief spikes to 17°C via enhanced insolation, model agreement and diurnal patterns make this improbable; end-of-day observations from the official station will finalize resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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