Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like INMET and global ensembles points to daytime maxima near 23–24 °C for São Paulo on 12 August, driven by a transitional ridge of high pressure following a cooler frontal passage earlier in the week and modest warm advection ahead of a weak trough. These conditions favor limited cloud cover and moderate insolation during the austral winter, when climatological highs average 23–25 °C, producing the tight market clustering around the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and INMET bulletins expected later today will refine the thermal profile ahead of the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
24°C 45%
25°C 29%
26°C 12%
23°C 8%
$18,999 Vol.
$18,999 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
45%
25°C
29%
26°C
12%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 29%
26°C 12%
23°C 8%
$18,999 Vol.
$18,999 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
45%
25°C
29%
26°C
12%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like INMET and global ensembles points to daytime maxima near 23–24 °C for São Paulo on 12 August, driven by a transitional ridge of high pressure following a cooler frontal passage earlier in the week and modest warm advection ahead of a weak trough. These conditions favor limited cloud cover and moderate insolation during the austral winter, when climatological highs average 23–25 °C, producing the tight market clustering around the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs and INMET bulletins expected later today will refine the thermal profile ahead of the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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